Big Tree PAC Polling Memo

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Despite reporting nearly half of a million dollars in contributions last quarter, Dallas-area businesswoman Genevieve Collins hardly registers in the latest Republican primary poll out of Texas’s 32nd congressional district. In a recent poll commissioned by Big Tree PAC and conducted by 0ptimus Analytics, Collins barely sits atop the pack of GOP candidates (at 12.3%) in a race where 3-in-4 likely Republican primary voters are “Undecided” when asked who should be the party’s nominee to take on incumbent Democratic Congressman Colin Allred. Although he’s raised less than one-tenth of the funds of Collins, retired U.S. Navy SEAL Floyd McLendon sits in second place in the race (at 7.3%).

Among this very conservative electorate (according to selfreported ideology), each of the top three candidates in the race are relatively unknown among voters in the district, with at least 70% of voters reporting they are ‘not sure’ whether they have favorable or unfavorable opinions of the candidates. Among those respondents who reported favorable or unfavorable opinions, Genevieve Collins and Floyd McLendon hold net favorables that are statistically indistinguishable to one another. Although there is still a month to go until primary day in Texas, the current state of the race looks like it is going to come down to where the Undecideds go.

This poll was conducted by 0ptimus Analytics and surveyed 971 likely GOP primary voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.3% . Respondents were contacted by interactive voice response (IVR) and text-to-web.

Further methodological details can be found below: